Frampton, Slimbridge and Hardwicke are just a few of the locations in the Stroud District which will be flooded every year by 2030, according to the findings of a climate change research group.
Climate Central, an organization made up of scientists and journalists, predict that by the end of the decade, rivers like the Severn and Frome will regularly flood as far inland as Bristol Road in Claypits and Cambridge, as well as the M5 near Nupend.
They expect that places like Berkeley, Sharpness and parts of Quedgeley will also be hit by floods as the result of pollution, climate change and rising sea-levels.
The organization has produced a sophisticated map of the effected areas based on peer-reviewed data, with flood frequency simulated on 35 years of recorded global atmospheric conditions.
The data does come with some caveats, such as the map does not incorporate precipitation nor river runoff, which would increase the flood risk in many areas, and it does not take into account potential future effects of climate change on storms, such as intensification.
Climate Central could not take into account all coastal defenses, buildings, vegetation and land slope which can effect data concerning land elevation.
“As is generally best practice, local detail should be verified with a site visit and more precise elevation measurements,” the group states.
“Our maps are not based on physical storm and flood simulations and do not take into account factors such as erosion, future changes in the frequency or intensity of storms, inland flooding, or contributions from rainfall or rivers.”
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